Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 87.509999 97.698524 108.098322 119.477030 131.546268 143.937581 157.592305
2025-03-09 72.260008 86.975844 102.637224 120.422459 139.940601 160.598820 184.008256
2025-03-16 61.538313 78.565637 97.273650 119.102916 143.637095 170.143322 200.733099
2025-03-23 55.078858 73.993241 95.342588 120.811941 149.982909 182.002103 219.466589
2025-03-30 50.095282 70.509364 94.116354 122.827802 156.243616 193.408602 237.385795
2025-04-06 44.433448 65.669102 90.845478 122.061712 158.965761 200.531462 250.240116
2025-04-13 38.629915 60.150687 86.340266 119.456378 159.220597 204.562765 259.343202
2025-04-20 36.650552 59.277032 87.331306 123.293814 166.937542 217.117472 278.154630
2025-04-27 34.242941 57.633703 87.200988 125.631122 172.765909 227.402971 294.301196
2025-05-04 30.795771 54.335218 84.767158 124.948751 174.818629 233.148162 305.083697
2025-05-11 27.549426 51.058820 82.160061 123.876094 176.254967 238.054235 314.796098
2025-05-18 25.335379 49.064514 81.097310 124.645508 179.862355 245.483238 327.435212
2025-05-25 22.901968 46.604289 79.325198 124.462166 182.292937 251.546003 338.548683
2025-06-01 20.997647 44.787134 78.321084 125.198114 185.822160 258.912441 351.216019
2025-06-08 18.607820 42.021129 75.854749 123.885844 186.669234 262.942980 359.831404
2025-06-15 17.369742 40.975864 75.729949 125.629170 191.359773 271.651234 374.067183
2025-06-22 16.325747 40.160928 75.875362 127.693849 196.436586 280.824747 388.869914
2025-06-29 14.578204 38.014065 73.984062 126.909474 197.777548 285.339863 397.994800
2025-07-06 12.509292 35.100427 70.811516 124.242253 196.573661 286.618438 403.117086
2025-07-13 12.221953 35.364612 72.393690 128.170697 204.007255 298.695685 421.470960
2025-07-20 11.591918 34.938930 72.893022 130.562883 209.410913 308.231784 436.722162
2025-07-27 10.319885 33.172333 71.245791 129.864533 210.680994 312.538692 445.523195
2025-08-03 9.076958 31.320709 69.370294 128.766687 211.363377 316.063880 453.332229